iv been building stock pens all week and making chickin food bruising the barley kipled maze etc .The wether is still good no sine of winter yet .The weekend will begin overcast with patchy outbreaks of rain across much of England and Wales, but clearer weather in Northern Ireland and Scotland will gradually push, although the clearer weather won't reach the south eastern corner until Saturday night. Temperatures will drop in the clearer conditions, and this will lead to a cold start on Sunday morning with a widespread frost. Most places will then have a dry day, but this isn't set to last, with cloud and rain returning to north western regions by the evening. During Sunday night and into Monday the rain will push across all parts, with the heaviest outbreaks in the north and west It will also turn stormy, with gales expected, especially central and northern regions.I’m continuing to look at the GEFS 12z and GFS 12z runs on a daily basis to see whether they are pointing towards a cold spell in late November or early December. So straight to the scores again tonight ]My take is: 13 green runs, 9 blue runs which gives us (60/22) * 13 = 35%.
The 35% chance of high(ish) latitude blocking bringing a cold spell is up from 33% yesterday. Quick conclusion is that tonight’s runs aren’t a game changer, but I’m increasingly confident we’ll see colder weather developing either later this month or in early December. I’m much less confident about the extent and duration of the cold, and whether there’ll be precipitation and snow mixed in with it. It’s going to be very interesting watching how the computer models develop things in the next few days.
Topic: What bored sheep farmers get up to (Read 3198 times)
