Author Topic: Summer 2012: Warmer than average for the smallholder  (Read 1011 times)

Victorian Farmer

  • Joined Jul 2011
  • aviemore
  • Heritage Poultry garybamford6@gmail.com
Summer 2012: Warmer than average for the smallholder
« on: June 04, 2012, 05:58:54 pm »
Overview
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A fair to decent summer with the possibility of fine and very warm weather in July is expected. Rainfall amounts could vary significantly locally.
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Temperature
A slightly warmer to warmer than average summer is expected. The aggregated Central England Temperature (CET) for June, July and August is expected to be 0.5C to 1.5C above the average Precipitation
A slightly drier than average summer is expected generally. Over the three month period precipitation levels are expected to between 75% to 100% of the average for much of the country, but significant variations are expected, with the possibility of heavy downpours pushing precipitation levels above average locally. June
Temperature: Slightly above average
Precipitation: Close to average
First half
The first half of the month looks set to bring mixed weather, with all parts of the country seeing showers or longer spells of rain at times. Temperatures over the period will probably be slightly above the seasonal average, especially in the south east where some warm sunny days are possible. Overall though these will probably be offset by cooler and wetter days with the possibility of some heavy rainfall in places, especially, but not exclusively in central and western parts.

Second half
The second half of June is expected to see a spell of dry, fine and settled conditions developing and bringing above average temperatures. At times it could become very warm in southern and central parts with the possibility of thundery conditions. In the west and north west temperatures may be pegged back with a higher risk of unsettled and cooler periods of weather which could push further east at times.July

Temperature: Above average
Precipitation: Below average
First half
Fine and very warm weather is expected to develop at times during the first half of the month, although early on there may well be mixed weather with some rain and lower temperatures. Fine, settled and very warm or perhaps even hot conditions are possible towards the middle of July.

Second half
The second half of the month should bring further spells of fine weather across much of the UK with temperatures above average                          August
Temperature: Close to average
Precipitation: Close to average

First half
The first half of the month is forecast to bring mixed weather early in the period with showers or longer spells of rain at times, but also some drier and brighter spells of weather when it will be quite warm.

Second half
During the second half of August close to average weather is expected for much of the time, with settled and fine spells especially in the south interspersed with cool and changeable weather.
     
Forecast Issued 01/06/2012

Key
Temperature
Much above average - the Central England Temperature (CET) is expected to be more than 2C above the 1961-90 average

Above average – the Central England Temperature (CET) is expected to be 1C to 2C above the 1961-90 average

Close to average – the Central England Temperature (CET) is expected to be between 1C  below and 1C above the 1961-90 average

Below average – the Central England Temperature (CET) is expected to be 1C to 2C below the 1961-90 average

Much below average - the Central England Temperature (CET) is expected to be more than 2C below the 1961-90 average

Rainfall
Much above average - expected to be more than  150% of the England & Wales Rainfall Series

Above average - expected to be between 125% and  150% of the England & Wales Rainfall Series

Close to average - expected to be between 75% and  125% of the England & Wales Rainfall Series

Below average – expected to be between 75% and  50% of the England & Wales Rainfall Series

Much below average - expected to be below than 50% of the England & Wales Rainfall Series

 

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